The start of the Breeders’ Cup is fast approaching. The biggest stars of the equine world will be on show, but for the most part, the huge names will be short-priced favourites for the races that they line up in.
However, there is always value to be had by gamblers when it comes to betting on the 14 Grade 1s that are staged, with last year’s 70/1 winner Order of Australia being evidence of that. But, which outsiders will likely grab the attention of gamblers at Del Mar?
Before heading into this year’s predictions, check out the results of previous editions here: https://www.twinspires.com/breeders-cup/results
The Breeders’ Cup Classic betting is dominated by Essential Quality and Knicks Go. However, below the top two in the betting, there are a number of interesting outsiders. Happy Saver could be the pick of those for Todd Pletcher. The four-year-old has won once from three starts this season, but it’s hard to forget his incredible run when winning the G1 Jockey Club Gold Cup in 2020.
He was second in this year’s renewal with a speed figure of 108, which was just down on the figure he set when winning in the previous year. A strong challenge at Del Mar looks likely with this talented lightly-raced horse.
The race with the most value is likely to be the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, as no two-year-old has yet emerged as the leading contender for the Triple Crown races last year. One that will certainly relish the conditions at Del Mar, and could be set for a big run at around 20/1 is Classic Causeway. Brian Lynch trains this horse, and he has won one from two starts to date.
His maiden success came in dominant fashion at Saratoga, before he made a late charge in the G1 Breeders’ Futurity at Keeneland last time out. That speed figure of 91, coupled with his speed figure of 92 on debut means that he is a fascinating prospect for the Juvenile in 2021.
Reach For The Moon
The two-year-olds on turf will also be on show at Del Mar, and there could be an outside winner of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf. Reach For The Moon for highly respected trainer John & Thady Gosden have been blessed with some superstars over the past couple of years, and this two-year-old, owned by Her Majesty The Queen, could be the next best thing.
This horse is already been targeted towards the Classics in Britain next season, as The Queen looks to win either the 2000 Guineas or Epsom Derby in her Platinum Jubilee year. Reach For The Moon has won the G3 Solario Stakes already this season, and was a very competitive second last time out in the G2 Champagne Stakes.
Master of the Seas
The Breeders’ Cup Mile was where the big price winner came in 2020, and there could be another outsider to watch this year. Godolphin has enjoyed another final year in ownership, while Charlie Appleby has already eclipsed his best number of Group/Grade 1 winners in a single season. The campaign could end with yet another big victory to close the season, as Master of the Seas is a three-year-old that has progressed very nicely throughout the season.
He won the G3 Craven Stakes in April, before being beaten by the narrowest of margins by Poetic Flare in the G1 2000 Guineas. A long break followed after that success, but he returned with a gritty effort in the G2 Joel Stakes, finishing a length and a quarter behind Benbatl. More is yet to come from this three-year-old, and that could include a challenge for the Mile at Del Mar.